THE UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA
Physics 108
Assignment #
1
SOLUTIONS:
THERMAL PHYSICS
Wed. 05 Jan. 2005 - finish by Wed. 12 Jan.
- "STAT - EC":
Consider the following simplified model of
a sort of stock market:
A given stock
has a total of shares on the market
for a fixed price .
At a given time, of these shares are
bought and the remaining are unwanted.
Thus the net investment in is
. [Here and
are measured in monetary units, say dollars;
I have used the same notation as for energy
for reasons that will soon become evident.]
To keep things simple, we shall assume that
the price of a given stock
does not change. Further, let's make the
outrageous assumption that the stock market as a whole
is a priori equally likely to be found in
any one of the fully specified states accessible to it
-- i.e. that a given amount of capital is equally likely
to be distributed amongst the various stocks in any of
the possible ways that give the same total.1
- Invent a general definition for an economic analogue of
temperature [measured in monetary units]
that has the desired predictive power:
that (given our starting assumptions)
capital will tend to flow spontaneously from stocks with
higher into others with lower
and will stop flowing between two stocks only when they
are in "economic equilibrium" - i.e. when they have the
same "economic temperature" .
ANSWER:
This can be copied right off the handout; I just wanted you to
give some thought to the implications. If
is the number of different ways the total capital
investment
in stock
can be redistributed among the shares available ()
of that stock, then the ENTROPY of stock is
. We even have a formula for
given the above specifications, namely the
binomial distribution, but this part of the question
is completely general and you need not work out the actual
specific result, just define the inverse economic temperature as
in terms of which the above-mentioned predictive power
comes automatically!
Just for fun, I will go ahead and derive the explicit
-dependence of for the binomial distribution:
or
where
is the energy giving
the largest possible . For large this can be
approximated by a gaussian distribution:
,
giving
. Thus
or
Note that has the same dimensions as ,
as expected. For your own amusement, consider how the
economic temperature of stock behaves when
half or more of its available shares are sold!
- Now assume that the entire market is in "economic
equilibrium" and is so much larger than any of its parts
that we may treat it as a "capital reservoir"
at an "economic temperature" of $100.
Consider one share of one stock, valued at
$200:
What is the probability that it will be bought at any given time?
ANSWER:
Again, this is right out of the handout: we have now the analogue
of the CANONICAL ENSEMBLE, in which the probability of
one fully specified state of a "microsystem" (in this case
a single share of a given stock) follows the BOLTZMANN
DISTRIBUTION:
. In order to convert the
symbol into an sign, we need to
normalize the probability distribution:
all the possibilities together must add up to a probability
of unity. In this case there are only two possibilities:
either the stock is bought (investment ,
probability
) or it is
not bought (investment , probability
), where the constant
of proportionality must be adjusted to make the total
come out to
.
Thus
and we have
,
in this case
- Assuming that is also huge compared to
the entire offering of shares of stock
valued at
$200,
what is the expected total investment in
when $100?
ANSWER:
If the probability of any one share of being
bought is
, then the expected average total
investment in is
or
- If the economic temperature drops to $50,
which stock will be likely to have the most capital invested in it,
with shares at
$200 per share
or with shares at
$100 per share?
ANSWER:
As in the previous part,
whereas
.
Thus the stock selling for the lower price will tend to attract
the larger net investment for the same number of shares, even though
each share is sold for less,
as long as both are expensive
- i.e. selling for well above the market's
economic temperature .
(If
then almost half
the shares of the stock will be sold
and the stock with the larger price per share will attract a larger net
investment. Notice how important it is to be aware of the market's
"temperature.") Of course, all this is founded on several assumptions -
totally mindless investment decisions and the consequent lack of
"feedback" affecting the prices of stocks - which cannot possibly
describe the behaviour of a real stock market . . . can they?
Note also that because there is a limit on how much money can be
spent on a given stock (namely when all shares are sold, a state of
zero entropy) we can have all the peculiar effects of negative
"economic temperature" - but for
the maximum fraction of shares sold will be 50%.
- MARS-EQUIVALENT ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE:
The composition of Mars' atmosphere is nominally
95.3% CO, 2.7% N, 1.6% Ar, 0.15% O and 0.03% HO.
Mean atmospheric pressure at the surface of Mars
is 1-9 millibar, depending on altitude; the average is about 7 mb,
compared to 1000 mb at sea level on Earth.
At what altitude here on Earth would the atmospheric pressure
be the same as that at the surface of Mars?
(Assume an isothermal Earth atmosphere at 300 K.
Are any other assumptions needed?)
ANSWER:
As we have seen, molecules of mass in an isothermal atmosphere
have a relative probability
of being found at altitude . (Here is Boltzmann's constant.)
Thus the ratio of the atmospheric pressure at height to that at
zero height (i.e. sea level) is just , so
to drop the pressure by a ratio
we must go to a
height where
or
or
.
We know
J/K so
J,
and m/s, but now we do have to make an additional
assumption: namely, that our atmosphere is "mostly nitrogen"
where in fact it is about 79% N, 20% O and
1% other gases. The partial pressure of heavier gases (mainly oxygen)
will drop off faster with altitude, giving a net pressure that
does not have a perfectly exponential -dependence; but the
isothermal assumption is much worse, so we can use the
of N (about
kg) to get
m.
That is
.
- ORTHO- vs. PARA-HYDROGEN:
Molecular hydrogen, H, consisting of two protons bound together
with two electrons, can form in either the "singlet" state
called parahydrogen, in which the total spin
(intrinsic angular momentum) of the molecule is zero,
or in any one of three "triplet" states of orthohydrogen,
in which the proton spins combine to make a total spin
of (the fundamental unit of angular momentum).
For this problem, all you need to know is that the three
triplet states are degenerate - i.e. they all
have the same energy relative to the singlet state,
namely
J.
(The energy of the singlet state
can be taken to be zero, for reference.)
Assume that the spin degrees of freedom of the H
molecules are unaffected by,
but are in thermal equilibrium with,
all their other degrees of freedom
(like translational, rotational or vibrational).
In this case, what fraction of H molecules
will be found (on average) in ortho states
- at room temperature (300 K)?
ANSWER:
As in the earlier example, the probability
of a state of energy
being occupied in thermal equilibrium at temperature
is given by the Boltzmann distribution,
,
where the constant of proportionality
is to be determined by normalization.2 There are three states of energy
and one of zero energy, so for normalization we must have
or
.
The fraction of H molecules in all three triplet
states combined is the sum of the three (equal) probabilities
of any given molecule being in any of these three degenerate
states:
.
For
J,
and
,
giving
- at the boiling point of liquid nitrogen
at atmospheric pressure (77 K)?
ANSWER:
The same formula applies here, with
J,
and
,
giving
- at the freezing point of molecular hydrogen
at atmospheric pressure (14 K)?
ANSWER:
. . . and again here, with
J,
and
,
giving
Jess H. Brewer
2005-01-03